Supporting article for the video: https://youtu.be/b_8V_KZ4djo Last updated: 2026-02-16 Executive Summary * What I said (Feb 4): TAO’s Power Amplitude Index (PAI) was 0.239, and the model’s implied PAI=0 price level was ~$159 (i.e., “around $160” looked like a statistical floor
As of today, February 7, 2026, Bitcoin is flirting with the $70,000 level. To the casual observer or the retail trader, this might look like a simple dip—or perhaps the beginning of the end. The market is currently filled with two types of noise: the "delusional"
Asset: BitTensor (TAO) Current Price: ~$190 Market Bias: Bearish / Caution The crypto market is currently a landscape of noise and emotion. With Bitcoin hovering just below $76,000 and altcoins like BitTensor (TAO) seeing significant pullbacks, the "buy the dip" narrative is in full swing across social media.
Date: January 4, 2026 Happy New Year. As we kick off 2026, the crypto market is presenting us with a textbook decision point. Today I want to focus on BitTensor (TAO), which is trading at roughly $259. We are currently seeing a specific signal on the Power Amplitude Index (PAI)
Excerpt: As we close 2025, Bitcoin sits below the Power Law and the 350-day moving average. The data suggests a 75% probability of continued bearish action. Here is my strategy for navigating the next few months. Date: December 29, 2025 Current Prices: BTC ~$88,000 | KAS ~$0.045 As we
Date: December 18, 2025 Asset: BitTensor (TAO) Price: ~$230 BitTensor (TAO) sits at the nexus of the two most powerful narratives in technology: Crypto and Artificial Intelligence. The long-term story is incredibly compelling. However, as a data-driven investor, I do not invest in narratives. I invest in probabilities. Right now,
Date: December 16, 2025 Asset: Kaspa (KAS) Price: ~$0.042 Kaspa is trading near its historical lows. My proprietary Power Amplitude Index (PAI) is flashing "Blue," a signal that has marked every major bottom in Kaspa's history. In a normal bull market, this would be an
Bitcoin has been under pressure, sentiment is fearful, and altcoins are reacting violently to every BTC downtick. But when we step back and evaluate the market through three data-driven lenses—Power Law, PAI, and Fear & Greed forward-returns—a clearer picture emerges. None of these frameworks are perfect predictors. But
BitTensor (TAO): Great AI Narrative, But the Data Says Wait The AI narrative behind BitTensor (TAO) is powerful, compelling, and gaining momentum. But when we zoom out and view TAO through a quantitative lens—using PAI (Power Amplitude Index), probability distributions, and short-term forecast reliability—the picture becomes much more
The market is in a state of fear. Bitcoin has breached the critical psychological level of $100,000, and for many, it feels like the sky is falling. This is the exact moment a data-driven framework is most valuable. In a market full of emotion, I'm not here
The world of crypto investing is drowning in noise. "Inverse head and shoulders," "golden crosses," and "gut feelings" dominate the conversation. We're told to trust the process, but the process feels more like a casino than a science. Most people aren’t
The crypto market never sleeps, and the urge to constantly "do something" can be overwhelming. But a data-driven approach requires discipline. Sometimes, the most profitable action is inaction. Right now, my proprietary Price Action Indicator (PAI) for Kaspa ($KAS) is giving a clear signal, but it's