Date: December 18, 2025 Asset: BitTensor (TAO) Price: ~$230 BitTensor (TAO) sits at the nexus of the two most powerful narratives in technology: Crypto and Artificial Intelligence. The long-term story is incredibly compelling. However, as a data-driven investor, I do not invest in narratives. I invest in probabilities. Right now,
Date: December 16, 2025 Asset: Kaspa (KAS) Price: ~$0.042 Kaspa is trading near its historical lows. My proprietary Power Amplitude Index (PAI) is flashing "Blue," a signal that has marked every major bottom in Kaspa's history. In a normal bull market, this would be an
Bitcoin has been under pressure, sentiment is fearful, and altcoins are reacting violently to every BTC downtick. But when we step back and evaluate the market through three data-driven lenses—Power Law, PAI, and Fear & Greed forward-returns—a clearer picture emerges. None of these frameworks are perfect predictors. But
BitTensor (TAO): Great AI Narrative, But the Data Says Wait The AI narrative behind BitTensor (TAO) is powerful, compelling, and gaining momentum. But when we zoom out and view TAO through a quantitative lens—using PAI (Power Amplitude Index), probability distributions, and short-term forecast reliability—the picture becomes much more
The market is in a state of fear. Bitcoin has breached the critical psychological level of $100,000, and for many, it feels like the sky is falling. This is the exact moment a data-driven framework is most valuable. In a market full of emotion, I'm not here
The world of crypto investing is drowning in noise. "Inverse head and shoulders," "golden crosses," and "gut feelings" dominate the conversation. We're told to trust the process, but the process feels more like a casino than a science. Most people aren’t
The crypto market never sleeps, and the urge to constantly "do something" can be overwhelming. But a data-driven approach requires discipline. Sometimes, the most profitable action is inaction. Right now, my proprietary Price Action Indicator (PAI) for Kaspa ($KAS) is giving a clear signal, but it's
In the last few weeks, the Kaspa market gave us a masterclass in volatility. A sharp, fear-inducing dip was followed by a rapid, FOMO-inducing recovery. For many, this V-shaped bounce felt like a missed opportunity, a frustrating moment of hesitation. My inbox saw the questions: "Did you buy the
The crypto market is buzzing with excitement. Bitcoin is flirting with its all-time high, and investor sentiment is overwhelmingly positive. In this environment, major crypto-related stocks like Coinbase ($COIN) are seeing explosive growth. But as investors, our job is to balance that excitement with a disciplined, data-driven approach. When an
Risk Level Pricing Risk Level Price 0 $0.043 0.1 $0.053 0.2 $0.066 0.3 $0.082 0.4 $0.102 0.5 $0.127 0.6 $0.157 0.7 $0.196 0.8 $0.243 0.9 $0.303 1 $0.376
Anticipated Kaspa return is 435% and Bitcoin is around 75% - the advantage for Kaspa is huge. However, it's important to be cautious as there is plenty of potential for prices to be volatile and deploying capital in stages is the way to go ahead.